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1. Division · Denmark
AB Copenhagen vs Aarhus Fremad prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AB Copenhagen host Aarhus Fremad in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AB Copenhagen 2–0 Aarhus Fremad.
Going into the match, AB Copenhagen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Aarhus Fremad had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AB Copenhagen's last 10 and 4 of Aarhus Fremad's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AB Copenhagen averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.15 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from AB Copenhagen and 0.79 from Aarhus Fremad. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 26%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AB Copenhagen (green) and Aarhus Fremad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AB Copenhagen | WWLLL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Aarhus Fremad | LDDWD | 1.20 | 0.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.