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Premier League · Bahrain
A'Ali vs Sitra prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
A'Ali host Sitra in the Premier League (Bahrain) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sitra to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: A'Ali 0–2 Sitra.
Going into the match, A'Ali had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Sitra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of A'Ali's last 9 and 2 of Sitra's last 9; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home A'Ali averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Sitra averaged 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from A'Ali and 1.27 from Sitra. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 48%, against 32%, 30% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between A'Ali (green) and Sitra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Apr 2026 · A'Ali 0–2 Sitra
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Manama · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–2