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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
2 de Mayo host Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano.
Going into the match, 2 de Mayo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Sportivo Ameliano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of 2 de Mayo's last 10 and 7 of Sportivo Ameliano's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 2 de Mayo averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sportivo Ameliano averaged 1.00 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from 2 de Mayo and 1.02 from Sportivo Ameliano. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 2 de Mayo (green) and Sportivo Ameliano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo | WDLLL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 40% | 60% |
| Sportivo Ameliano | LDDWW | 1.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 2 de Mayo
- 11 Apr 2026 · 2 de Mayo 1–2 Sportivo Ameliano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| 2 de Mayo Win | 35% | 2.55 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.