Home › League stats › Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1899 Hoffenheim host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1899 Hoffenheim Win — 1899 Hoffenheim to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV.
Going into the match, 1899 Hoffenheim had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Hamburger SV had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 and 5 of Hamburger SV's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Hamburger SV averaged 1.40 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.51 from Hamburger SV. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%, against 67%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1899 Hoffenheim (green) and Hamburger SV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | LLWLL | 1.90 | 1.80 | 60% | 90% |
| Hamburger SV | WWLLL | 1.50 | 1.90 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.