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2. Lig · Turkey
1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1461 Trabzon FK host Serik Spor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — 1461 Trabzon FK to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1461 Trabzon FK 4–1 Serik Spor.
Going into the match, 1461 Trabzon FK had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Serik Spor had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of 1461 Trabzon FK's last 7 and 6 of Serik Spor's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1461 Trabzon FK averaged 2.25 goals scored and 3.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Serik Spor averaged 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from 1461 Trabzon FK and 0.94 from Serik Spor. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1461 Trabzon FK (green) and Serik Spor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1461 Trabzon FK | WDLLL | 1.86 | 2.29 | 86% | 86% |
| Serik Spor | LDWDL | 1.11 | 1.78 | 67% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| 1461 Trabzon FK Win | 36% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.