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2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1. FC Nürnberg host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg.
Going into the match, 1. FC Nürnberg had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 11. VfL Wolfsburg had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of 1. FC Nürnberg's last 10 and 6 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1. FC Nürnberg averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home VfL Wolfsburg averaged 2.56 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.57 from VfL Wolfsburg. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 23%, against 38%, 24% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1. FC Nürnberg (green) and VfL Wolfsburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | WWWDW | 2.40 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | WWLDW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg Win | 38% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.