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Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1. FC Köln host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Going into the match, 1. FC Köln had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 20. Borussia Mönchengladbach had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 and 5 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1. FC Köln averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 2.69 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from 1. FC Köln and 1.76 from Borussia Mönchengladbach. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 46%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1. FC Köln (green) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | DLDLW | 2.30 | 2.00 | 90% | 90% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | DWLLL | 2.80 | 1.90 | 50% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.